Sky News can reveal that the ultimate cost to the UK of saving RBS – now NatWest Group – from insolvency is expected to come in at about £10.2bn once the proceeds of share sales, dividends and fees associated with the stake are aggregated.
The final bill will draw a line under one of the most notorious bank bailouts ever orchestrated, and comes nearly 17 years after the then chancellor, Lord Darling, conducted what RBS’s boss at the time, Fred Goodwin, labelled “a drive-by shooting”.
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Insiders believe a statement confirming that the final shares have been sold could come in the latter part of next week, although there is a chance that that timetable could be extended by a number of days.
The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is likely to make a statement about the milestone, although insiders say the Treasury and the bank are keen to simply mark the occasion by thanking British taxpayers for their protracted support.
A stock exchange filing disclosing that the taxpayer’s stake had fallen below 1% was made last week, down from over 80% in the years after the £45.5bn bailout.
The stake now stands at 0.39%, meaning the final shares could be offloaded as early as the middle of next week, depending upon demand.
Total proceeds from a government trading plan launched in 2021 to drip-feed NatWest stock into the market have so far reached £12.8bn.
Based on the bank’s current share price, the remaining shares should fetch in the region of £400m, taking the figure to £13.2bn.
In addition, institutional share sales and direct buybacks by NatWest of government-held stock have yielded a further £11.5bn.
Dividend payments to the Treasury during its ownership have totalled £4.9bn, while fees and other payments have generated another £5.6bn.
In aggregate, that means total proceeds from NatWest since 2008 are expected to hit £35.3bn.
Under Rick Haythornthwaite and Paul Thwaite, now the bank’s chairman and chief executive respectively, NatWest is now focused on driving growth across its business.
It recently tabled an £11bn bid to buy Santander UK, according to the Financial Times, although no talks are ongoing.
Mr Thwaite replaced Dame Alison Rose, who left amid the crisis sparked by the debanking scandal involving Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader.
Sky News recently revealed that the bank and Mr Farage had reached an undisclosed settlement.
During the first five years of NatWest’s period in majority state ownership, the bank was run by Sir Stephen Hester, now the chairman of easyJet.
Sir Stephen stepped down amid tensions with the then chancellor, George Osborne, about how RBS – as it them was – should be run.
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Lloyds Banking Group was also in partial state ownership for years, although taxpayers reaped a net gain of about £900m from that period.
Other lenders nationalised during the crisis included Bradford & Bingley, the bulk of which was sold to Santander UK, and Northern Rock, part of which was sold to Virgin Money – which in turn has been acquired by Nationwide.
NatWest declined to comment on Friday, while the Treasury has been contacted for comment.
